There's a reason that Carolina is the #2 seed...
I'm sticking with "Don't pick against the champs until they lose" which in the Belicheat era has been a fairly solid predictor. This presumes, however, that we don't see Brian Westbrook play as Minnesota is now painfully aware he can play. He doesn't have the nickname of "Giantslayer" because he spends a lot of time in video games after all.
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"But there's no sense crying over every mistake,
You just keep on trying till you run out of cake"